46771 | 16 Dec. 2025 | 13:24

The sharp confrontation between the main parties and the declared impossibility for coalition governments fuel expectations for the emergence of a new political subject. Boyko Borisov maintains 21.6% trust

 In the event of possible elections today, six political forces would enter parliament, while another one would fall just below the entry threshold of 4%.

 This is shown by the data from the new survey of "Alpha Research", conducted from 5-12 December 2025 among 1000 adult citizens from the whole country. A stratified two-stage sample was used with a quota for the main socio-demographic characteristics.

 According to the data, GERB retains the first place in electoral preferences in the event of early parliamentary elections, but support for the party decreases while CC-DB closes the gap.

 If the elections were held today, GERB would receive the support of 21.4% of the firmly decided voters - a decrease of just over 4 percentage points compared to previous measurements.

 In second place is the CC-DB with 17.8%, as the coalition marks an increase of nearly 4 percentage points after their support for the mass protests in early December.

 The third political force remains "Revival" with 11.6%, and MRF- "New Beginning" is in fourth place with 9.4% of the votes of those who declared their readiness to participate in the vote.

 BSP and TISP, which were part of the ruling coalition, are among the most affected by the dynamics in public attitudes and are hovering around the parliamentary barrier - with 4.9% and 3.8% respectively.

 "We are MUH" gathers 4.2% and is currently among the formations with uncertain chances of entering the next parliament.

 "Greatness" (2.1%) and ARF (1.6%) remain below the threshold for parliamentary representation.

 Increased voter turnout and undecided voters.

 The data also show an increase in voter turnout. In the week of protests and the government's resignation, the declared readiness for participation in early elections has increased by 5-7 points, which means between 300 and 500 thousand additional voters.

 Nearly 10% of those who have stated they will vote, say they would support a party outside the current parliament, while 13.3% are still undecided - shares that could significantly change the election landscape.  

 Leader ratings: high levels of distrust

 The ratings of the main political leaders remain low, with most of them facing distrust.

 Boyko Borisov maintains a 21.6% level of trust, but negative evaluations have risen to 58.8%.

 At the leaders of CC-DB, personal dividends are limited: Asen Vassilev has 14.6% trust and 63.2% distrust, Ivailo Mirchev - 14.4% trust and 57.1% distrust, and Bozhidar Bozhanov - 12.9% trust and 56.3% distrust. The approval for Atanas Atanasov remains the lowest - 8.2%. Kostadin Kostadinov enjoys 10.8% trust and 60% distrust. 

   Atanas Zafirov (BSP) has 8.4% trust and 58.8% disapproval, while Slavi Trifonov (There is Such a People) - 7.6% trust and 61% distrust.

 The trust in the leader of Stand Up! Thug Radostin Vassilev is 10.2% with 59.8% distrust.
 

 Expectations for a New Political Project

   The sharp confrontation between the major parties and the declared impossibility for governing coalitions fuels expectations for the emergence of a new political subject. 40% of those surveyed say they would prefer a government built around a "new political force".

 According to "Alpha Research", whether these attitudes will turn into a real vote and how the support for possible new projects will be structured will depend on both the results of the early elections and the possibility of forming a stable government. "If Rumen Radev personally presents his own political project, he may attract around half of these voters.

 The remaining 20 percent are scattered among various other hypothetical projects - eurosceptic and nationalist, right-wing, centrist, social democratic, pro-European," states "Alpha Research".

 "After months of serious political, economic, and social challenges, the coalition government has resigned under pressure from massive civilian protests, leaving with 17% positive, 25% neutral, and 58% negative ratings," emphasizes the sociological agency.

 Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov steps down with 21% positive, 30% neutral, and 49% negative ratings. These levels are comparable to the attitude towards the majority of coalition cabinets and their prime ministers over the last 15 years at the end of their terms, according to "Alpha Research."

 At the end of the year, the parliament receives approval from only 5%, disapproval from 69%, and a neutral stance from 26%, with even supporters of the parties represented in it being highly critical.