Some parties are intuitively or instinctively calling for new elections because if Peevski continues to grow, the sanitary cordon around him will naturally be formed. This thesis was developed in an interview with the Bulgarian National Radio by the political scientist Parvan Simeonov.
"If Mr. Peevski continues on as he knows how, he is on the path to making the same mistake as Borisov did in 2020 - how long he had to deal with two, three, four oppositions. Borisov made a mistake when he stayed, because all his oppositions united from nowhere. If Mr. Peevski continues to grow, he is on the path to uniting all of his opponents, who otherwise cannot stand each other, in one camp. We have this political calmness today. Tomorrow we will not have it, because we will have a clear mandate: Peevski or everything else. If he grows in new elections, the balloon may naturally start to burst. Unless we are truly dealing with a political phenomenon. Mr. Peevski has so far refuted all predictions for his swift demise."
In the show "Before All" the political scientist also launched his hypothesis for two different majorities and what could be more popular. The first - a new alliance between GERB, CC-DB and TISP and BSP in supporting roles, or the alternative majority, "that everyone is scandalized by":
"Who can be in it: "Revival", who maintain their position and are on the wave of a significant part of Bulgarians; MUH, who are rising radicals and most likely will continue to grow; the anti-Borisov parties and somewhere in there the figure of Asen Vasilev, which every Bulgarian pensioner will tell you is historical. Which majority will be more popular? Is it the next coalition, which represents a heavy compromise on all vectors, or is it the majority that includes the current radicals, plus the one that raised pensions. The alternative majority, for better or worse, will be more liked.
According to him, the formation of the last two regular cabinets has been favored by "a favorable public opinion and international factors", but now these winds are equally strong and crossing.
The standoff is strong and symbolic - which is worse: corruption or the Kremlin, and in this stupor they do not know where to go, said the political scientist about the political impasse in parliament and emphasized the loss of yet another authority - that of the Constitutional Court.
"We started to think of the Constitutional Court as something opportunistic, with political players inside. This is one of the accompanying victims of the political crisis and the loss of authorities."
There is a theory that Borisov is buying time. I don't understand what he's buying time for - Radev on the field, if they are not farsighted? Things could become even more difficult for Borisov in the next parliament, expressed Simeonov's opinion.
The most important factor is who will hold the elections - this interim cabinet or another, emphasized the political scientist.
CC seem "more uncompromising with Borisov, Peevski and everything else", while DB are more flexible. The youngest ones as a political age are also the most playful, so everything can be expected from them, including an attempt for a majority with "Revival", points out Parvan Simeonov. According to him, we are talking about a "more volatile, less lasting in their plans" generation, which is not necessarily a defect, because "the more networked, the more unbreakable it is."
The CC-DB are headed for a positive outcome from this takeover, identifying who is more responsible for the upcoming elections and taking advantage of any positives from Borisov’s wavering, he added.
There are likely a few factors at play in the “new beginning” of both BSP and other formations, which may explain their behavior. BSP is currently a strange conglomerate that will have to find itself, according to Simeonov, who admitted:
"With this constant shifting at one spot of the party system, it is likely that all parties will start to experience it."
4628 | 29 Nov. 2024 | 11:38
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