"President's party for Radev? Maybe, but hardly."

, или се качи на пиедесталите на власттаNeed for a new party with new faces that can appeal to the new generations exists. But that does not mean that the person with the highest rating, or one who climbs on the pedestals of power, will make it.

."Presidential Party of Radev? Perhaps, but unlikely."

36755 | 26 Nov. 2024 | 14:55

за победителAccording to sources in Bulgaria, the next elections will activate the "Romanian model" - where someone who has not been considered as a potential winner suddenly gains significant support during the elections.


Lately, only the lazy have not talked about how Rumen Radev will create a party and sweep away the old players from the political field. The presidential party has become a prophecy, which is often not debated if it will happen, but when it will happen. Option one - Radev leaves the presidential post and creates a party that participates in the increasingly likely elections in the spring, while the mandate is completed by Vice President Iliana Yotova. Option two - Radev completes his mandate and after January 21, 2027, creates a party. Radev himself has never been specific on the topic, but has always answered journalists' questions about his political project in a way that would "annoy his enemies", creating the feeling that something like this is being cooked. After 2020. There were many projects that were passing off as presidential - starting with "The Change" (established by Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev, who became known in society as ministers in caretaker governments appointed by Radev), we go through "Bulgarian Ascent" of Stefan Yanev (twice Prime Minister in caretaker governments) and reach ITN, which also passes for a presidential party, but not because they were connected with caretaker cabinets, but through a different line - because they did not support the anti-Radev changes in the constitution. The movement "Third of March" was expected to become a presidential party, it was even said that Vesela Lecheva will lead it. The movement, however, was in the news due to the proposal of "Continuing the Change" to change the national holiday. This did not happen and "Third of March" may disappear due to a dropped need. Then it was said persistently that "the President makes a mayoral party" and with it will participate in the municipal elections. They were in the fall of 2023, passed and gone, without giving birth to any presidential party. And so it goes until today, when the topic became relevant again due to the parliamentary blockade and the inability to elect a chairman of the 51st National Assembly. But why does this question constantly arise? The answer lies in the declining voter turnout - a large part of Bulgarians cannot find a party they like and therefore do not vote. Or they vote for "none of the above". On October 27, this option was chosen by 82,619 people. For comparison, "Greatness", who narrowly missed out on entering parliament, received 97,438 votes. In the elections in April 2023. "None4supported no one" a total of 109,095 Bulgarians, and if this were a party, it would have a parliamentary group. Therefore - there are politically active citizens who go to the polls, but do not cast a ballot for any of the participating parties. And it can be assumed that if something they like appears, led by someone they like, they will support it. And sociologists are categorical - the most popular public figure in Bulgaria is President Rumen Radev. Analysts often see him as a future party leader because he has such political experience of those who have lived after 1989. Tensions are building and someone comes riding in on a horse, taking the punishment vote. This was the case in 1997, when the United Democratic Forces won, in 2001, when the star of Simeon Saxcoburggotski rose and in 2009, when GERB was launched onto the political scene. Throughout all these years, there was always a sense in society of who would be the next big winner. It helped those who wanted to side with the winners to navigate correctly. Usually, these new political projects, designed to win, were led by a popular figure. And how else could it be?! And now, today, when there is once again expectation for something new, because the old has become boring, everyone naturally looks for a popular figure. And they see President Rumen Radev. The head of state fuels the feeling that "he is the next one" by criticizing the current strong players. This is what Borisov did after 2001. As the Chief Secretary of the Ministry of Interior, he criticized his boss, the Interior Minister Prof. Petkanov, and later, as the Mayor of Sofia - Prime Minister Sergey Stanishev. And that is why, by analogy, those who are looking for whom to vote for today, look to Radev. However, Radev himself is unlikely to form a party while he is president. "Rumen Radev left the barracks, but it did not leave him," the leader of the SDS General Atanas Atanasov said cleverly a long time ago. Yes, Radev is a military man - a man of order, duty and honor. He is not a politician and he does not show anything that he wants to learn the tricks of this profession. And once he is elected president, he will be a president - he will not back down to please someone, even the public opinion. I remember the late summer of 2016, when it became clear that he would be the BSP candidate for president. At that time, Radev naturally began participating in meetings with the socialists and no matter how many times he was asked about his beliefs, he never said he was a left-wing person, nor did he use a metaphor like "the heart is on the left side." He also did not mention his membership in the Bulgarian Communist Party, although as an officer before 1989, he was certainly a member. In other words, he did not allow his behavior to be dictated by the situation. He also acts this way as president. He is accused of saying that Crimea belongs to Russia. However, Radev said: "The Russian flag flies over Crimea." And is it not the case? He is called a Putinist because he declared from the very beginning of the conflict in Ukraine that there is no military solution. And he stubbornly maintained this stance. Today it is becoming increasingly clear how right he was. That is Radev. Why suddenly be someone else? And another thing - for there to be a party, someone has to create it. According to sources, anyone with knowledge of party construction is leaving "Dondukov" 1. President Rumen Radev has consistently dismissed those who speak to him about the party. The latest "Radev person" whose name appeared in a new political project is Professor Alexander Marinov. He headed the Strategic Council under the president, which was quietly dissolved a year and a half ago. On that day, the professor's name was mentioned among the founders of "Bulgaria Can". According to sources in the presidency, Kiril Dobrev, who has been accused over the years of manipulating at least two caretaker governments under Radev, is no longer present. Currently, Dobrev is a member of "BSP-United Left" and applies his organizational skills there. Former Minister of Justice Krum Zarkov is now the Secretary of the President and is being considered for the leader of his party, but as a member of parliament, Zarkov focused on legislation and did not specialize in party building. In order for a party to become a reality, someone is needed to tirelessly travel around the country and build its structures. If Rumen Radev wanted to create a party, someone like 35-40 year old Tsvetan Tsvetanov or Rumen Petkov would have emerged at "Dondoukov" 2, but there is no such person. There are also not enough people to fill the 31 candidate lists. Let's remember – Simeon Saxe-Coburg-Gotha used the hope that "we will fix everything in 800 days," but in the formation of the NDSV, there were experienced politicians such as Krasimir Karakachanov and Konstantin Trenchev, as well as almost the entire faculty of law at Sofia University. The newly created GERB party also did not rely solely on the charisma of Boyko Borisov. Tsvetan Tsvetanov, who at the time was his right hand man, stepped on the regional structures of the Ministry of Interior in order to build GERB, which he clearly knew well. Through the "protest smoking" against Mikhail Mikov (interior minister during the triple coalition), it was determined which regional chiefs were "ours" and which were not. And it is not by chance that the first parliamentary group of GERB had many people with a biography from the Ministry of Interior. Around Radev, nothing like that is noticed. So who will lead and who will be a member of this Radev party? Just because there are many ambitious people who would ride such a rocket, does not mean the rocket exists. The trend of party construction will soon be replaced and instead of one major project to reflect citizens' dissatisfaction, multiple small formations will do so. We saw in the Romanian presidential elections how a candidate shot to the top of the rankings, who no analyst had previously considered. But one with a clear protest profile. A similar mechanism was already activated in Bulgaria on October 27th. Imagine how parliament would look if the party "Greatness" was in it? The mandates of the big players would be reduced - some by three, others by two. The discontent after the elections, the feeling that they were not fair, does not diminish - social media buzzes with cleverly made videos, most often targeting Borisov and Peevski. Average Bulgarian has realized that when he wants to punish "those above", it is not necessary to do it with someone big and strong. It can also be done with a few small ones, because when they become many, the overall picture qualitatively changes. And that's why there is a need for a new party with new faces that will appeal to the new generations. But it is unlikely that President Rumen Radev will do it.


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